摘 要：The Chinese government has implemented a policy for withdrawal fromrural housing land (WRHL) to encourage villagers who own urban properties and rely little on their farmland to withdraw from their ruralhousing land. However, few studies have examined whether WRHL target groups choose to withdraw. Based on field survey data fromChengdu, China, this study used the binary logit model and mediation effect regression to explore the impact of farmland dependence and urban housing on villagers' choices to withdraw from rural housing land. The results indicated that villagers who relied less on their farmland or had more urban housing were less likely to withdraw. From the perspective of impact mechanism, farmland dependence moderated the effects of urban housing, while expected value played a mediating role in the impact of farmland dependence and urban housing on villagers' choices. In summary, the target groups were unwilling towithdraw from their rural housing land, contrary to policy expectations. This is mainly because villagers have a higher expected value of ruralhousing land, prefer to hold rural housing land as value-added assets for future benefits, which is essentially land speculation of the policy targetgroups. In light of the study's findings, some policy implications are provided to policymakers.
关键词:CONSOLIDATION；WILLINGNESS；ACQUISITION；HOMESTEADS；FRAMEWORK；FARMERS；MODELS；AREAS
【本文第一作者为四川大学公共管理学院专职博士后，主要研究方向为农村土地制度与政策、土地管理与房地产经济。】
